Liklihood of a Biological Warfare Occurence
Liklihood of a Biological Warfare Occurence
Biological warfare agents are a unique type of weapons that is actually a living organism. Fungi, bacteria, viruses, and other macromolecules, which are capable of killing, are considered agents of biological war. When comparing equivalent amounts of biological and chemical warfare agents, the biological agent is far more potent. They are particularly dangerous since they can reproduce overtime causing the situation to become more deadly with time. In fact, is estimated that 1 gram of toxin could kill 10 million people.
The use of biological weapons can be dated back to the 14th century, when plague-infested bodies were thrown into a Russian enemy camp. Later, the English giving them infested blankets infected Native Americans with small pox. The only extensive biological attack was on China from Japan this was during the 1930’s and 1940’s. During this attack Japan dropped plague and bacteria on several cities causing multiple outbreaks. There has only been one large-scale attack by terrorists with biological warfare, this occurred in 1984 when they dispersed salmonella in salad bars, no fatalities resulted.
A biological war’s possibility of occurring is very realistic. Currently, at least seventeen countries have, or are developing biological warfare. These countries are China, Taiwan, North & South Korea, Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Iran, Cuba, Israel, former Soviet States, USA, Laos, Cuba, South Africa, China, Bulgaria, and Japan. The likelihood of biological war is reasonable since the production of biological warfare agents does not require specialized equipment or advanced technology and small amounts can produce large numbers of fatalities. Also, many of the materials and equipment that are used to produce biological warfare agents are available from legitimate sources and intended for other uses. In addition, there is a legitimate market for legal products which can be produced with this equipment, i.e., pharmaceuticals, biopesticides, etc. The delivery of biological agents increases the possibilities since they include aerial bombs, artillery shells. It is difficult to limit spread of biological warfare agents because of the dual-use nature of the equipment and technologies. long-range missiles, agricultural sprayers, and spray tanks carried by aircraft. Finally, the most realistic reason biological war will occur is the cost effectiveness of biological weapons. To "affect" 1 sq. km it would cost approximately $2000 using conventional weapons, $800 using...